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Red52
178729.9
751511.9
90047.2
Blue50
461126.2
83938.7
318113.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54490204060801005250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.3
30.030.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 3.7
26.20.5
23.924.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
7515
#28
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 1.7
3181
#42
13.60.5
13.113.6
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
9004
#47
7.20.3
6.87.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 1.5
8393
#29
8.70.5
8.38.7
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed