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Red73
415019.6
222817.9
261424.7
Blue51
683417.1
170820.3
414518.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585840455055657075807351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#33
24.72.1
19.221.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 4.4
1708
#25
20.30.2
19.619.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
4150
#18
19.62.2
16.218.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
red by 1.0
4145
#30
18.60.2
16.516.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
2228
#31
17.92.1
16.018.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
red by 0.8
17.10.2
17.517.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed