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Red81
32529.5
350421.6
348415.1
Blue56
574016.7
412118.5
947510.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7147204060801001208156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#2
29.50.4
27.327.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 11.1
18.50.1
17.617.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Second
3504
#20
21.60.4
19.419.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 4.9
5740
#27
16.70.1
16.816.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Third
3484
#41
15.10.4
14.715.1
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 4.3
9475
#39
10.80.1
10.910.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned