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Red66
301528.8
913914.1
263817.5
Blue44
326015.2
37924.8
57810.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750204060801006644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.7
28.629.3
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.4
red by 4.0
379
#4
24.80.3
21.721.4
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Second
2638
#26
17.50.7
16.817.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 2.2
3260
#19
15.20.4
14.914.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Third
9139
#15
14.10.7
13.414.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 3.4
578
#48
10.70.3
11.110.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsEarned