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Red74
320128.6
155915.3
14421.9
Blue46
34019.2
87058.6
402722.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6852204060801001207446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.4
27.328.7
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 6.0
4027
#12
22.60.3
22.922.6
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Second
144
#10
21.91.5
17.919.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 2.7
340
#35
19.20.3
17.116.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Third
1559
#17
15.31.4
14.616.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 6.6
8705
#50
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed