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Red73
402722.6
320128.6
112615.5
Blue84
69527.1
225225.2
170820.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72785060901001101207384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.2
28.428.6
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 1.5
695
#11
27.10.1
26.226.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
4027
#12
22.60.2
22.422.6
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 2.6
25.20.1
24.324.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Third
1126
#13
15.50.2
15.315.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 4.8
1708
#25
20.30.1
19.519.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1