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Red94
261424.7
201318.0
37924.8
Blue56
499112.9
412118.5
415019.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70544060801009456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#4
24.80.7
22.723.3
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
red by 5.2
4150
#18
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Second
2614
#33
24.70.7
22.623.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 6.3
18.50.2
18.318.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
2013
#32
18.00.7
15.916.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 5.1
4991
#16
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0