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Red59
25599.9
116825.1
42714.3
Blue15
70913.9
902711.3
24585.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333801020506070805915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.12.8
15.518.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
red by 11.1
709
#12
13.92.1
9.27.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Second
427
#10
14.32.8
8.811.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 3.0
9027
#26
11.32.1
13.311.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
2559
#30
9.92.8
5.98.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 4.4
2458
#29
5.52.1
11.08.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed