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Red58
428522.6
518117.0
108914.9
Blue29
54079.6
11435.7
2514.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801005829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.7
14.516.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
red by 7.7
25
#17
14.91.1
16.815.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Second
5181
#11
17.01.7
14.316.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
red by 7.4
5407
#21
9.61.1
9.38.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
Third
1089
#18
14.91.7
14.015.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 9.2
1143
#27
5.71.1
7.86.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed