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Red24
46375.5
54079.6
363715.3
Blue18
741411.3
25599.9
8169.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282651015203540452418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#13
15.30.1
11.211.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 4.0
7414
#14
11.30.7
8.27.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Second
5407
#21
9.60.1
8.28.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
blue by 0.3
2559
#30
9.90.7
8.68.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
4637
#31
5.50.1
5.95.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End-0.1
blue by 4.1
816
#20
9.60.7
7.16.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed