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Red44
140320.3
22348.4
518117.0
Blue36
70813.5
902711.3
540114.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454436384042464436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.2
17.818.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
red by 5.5
5401
#22
14.80.5
12.912.4
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Second
5181
#11
17.00.2
16.016.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
red by 3.6
708
#15
13.50.5
16.015.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Third
2234
#33
8.40.2
6.56.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 2.9
9027
#26
11.30.5
11.210.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed