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Red51
259023.6
3035.3
622613.7
Blue30
2514.9
4236.3
428522.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394702060805130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.5
17.518.0
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 0.9
22.61.3
16.214.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
Second
6226
#16
13.70.5
9.510.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 1.3
25
#17
14.91.3
15.714.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
303
#32
5.30.5
9.29.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 1.0
423
#24
6.31.3
9.98.6
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed