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Red47
46375.5
902711.3
589530.8
Blue34
568420.6
540114.8
54079.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483301020406070804734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.1
19.920.0
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 10.2
20.60.2
11.311.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
9027
#26
11.30.1
12.612.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 3.5
5401
#22
14.80.2
11.311.5
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
4637
#31
5.50.1
8.99.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End-0.1
blue by 4.1
5407
#21
9.60.2
9.39.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed