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Red56
260726.1
4336.0
428522.6
Blue15
3035.3
108914.9
25599.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4535102030405060705615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.1
16.817.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 11.2
1089
#18
14.92.4
14.211.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Second
22.61.1
11.112.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
red by 12.7
2559
#30
9.92.4
8.66.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
433
#23
6.01.1
11.412.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 0.7
303
#32
5.32.4
9.77.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed