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Red36
540114.8
108914.9
741411.3
Blue49
54079.6
140320.3
8169.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320102040506070803649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#18
14.90.3
16.616.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 5.4
20.30.9
16.617.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
Second
5401
#22
14.80.3
12.412.1
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 5.2
5407
#21
9.60.9
8.08.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
Third
7414
#14
11.30.3
9.99.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
red by 1.7
816
#20
9.60.9
6.27.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned