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Red35
139114.7
25599.9
24585.5
Blue49
42714.3
22348.4
568420.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373620304050603549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#25
14.70.3
13.413.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
blue by 5.9
20.61.8
16.117.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
2559
#30
9.90.3
11.411.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 4.4
427
#10
14.31.8
10.512.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
2458
#29
5.50.3
8.27.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 2.9
2234
#33
8.41.8
6.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed