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Red48
540114.8
589530.8
622613.7
Blue8
24585.5
4336.0
3035.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65220406080100488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.6
26.225.7
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 24.8
433
#23
6.01.8
10.58.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Second
5401
#22
14.80.6
14.013.4
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 9.3
2458
#29
5.51.7
5.53.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
6226
#16
13.70.6
13.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 8.4
303
#32
5.31.7
9.27.5
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed