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Red48
902711.3
680812.5
116825.1
Blue39
46375.5
428522.6
22348.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320204060804839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.5
23.123.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
red by 2.4
22.60.8
18.619.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
Second
6808
#19
12.50.5
10.511.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 4.1
2234
#33
8.40.8
7.38.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Third
9027
#26
11.30.5
8.99.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.0
red by 5.8
4637
#31
5.50.8
5.26.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed