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Red84
680816.5
139122.9
116830.2
Blue59
22348.9
181122.9
434220.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63462040801001208459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.3
26.127.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End-0.5
red by 7.3
1811
#15
22.91.0
18.019.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Second
22.91.3
16.417.7
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 2.3
4342
#17
20.71.0
16.617.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
6808
#19
16.51.3
12.213.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 7.6
2234
#24
8.91.0
9.110.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed