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Red44
249524.7
36521.3
81612.3
Blue56
87045.5
34134.6
253933.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53812040601001201404456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.5
20.620.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 9.9
341
#2
34.60.9
32.631.7
Auto14.4
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Second
365
#11
21.30.5
21.521.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 12.1
33.40.9
30.929.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
Third
816
#26
12.30.5
9.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End0.2
red by 6.8
8704
#29
5.50.9
6.25.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed