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Red74
70913.6
872111.0
518123.3
Blue23
42310.9
54079.7
7526.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46280204060801007423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
18.919.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 12.4
423
#16
10.90.4
7.77.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.9
Second
709
#14
13.60.9
14.815.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 3.9
5407
#22
9.70.4
11.511.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
8721
#12
11.00.9
6.17.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 4.8
752
#28
6.20.4
8.37.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed