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Red37
434220.7
20413.1
20957.6
Blue54
46378.2
680816.5
909425.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39492030607080903754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#17
20.70.0
17.617.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 4.4
25.10.8
22.723.4
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
204
#27
13.10.0
11.011.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 3.4
6808
#19
16.50.8
13.514.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
2095
#20
7.60.0
7.87.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
4637
#21
8.20.8
6.67.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed