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Red35
46378.2
70913.6
94169.9
Blue69
22348.9
139122.9
872111.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3944102030506070803569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#14
13.60.1
15.315.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
22.91.3
19.020.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Second
9416
#25
9.90.1
12.612.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 1.0
8721
#12
11.01.3
10.111.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
4637
#21
8.20.1
8.07.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
blue by 0.7
2234
#24
8.91.3
9.811.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned