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Red73
909425.1
253933.4
434220.7
Blue74
518123.3
24588.4
36521.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8947204060801001201407374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.2
31.231.1
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
red by 10.1
23.31.4
21.122.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Second
25.10.2
25.024.9
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
red by 3.8
365
#11
21.31.4
22.023.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
4342
#17
20.70.2
19.018.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 12.3
2458
#13
8.41.4
4.45.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed