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Red77
36521.3
260729.3
139122.9
Blue40
249524.7
7526.2
680816.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904602060801001201407740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
32.031.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End2.8
red by 4.6
24.70.5
24.524.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Second
22.90.6
20.419.8
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 6.4
6808
#19
16.50.5
15.515.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
365
#11
21.30.6
23.422.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 15.1
752
#28
6.20.5
7.06.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed