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Red52
511311.3
434220.7
24588.4
Blue42
42310.9
94169.9
437312.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143253035455055605242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#17
20.71.0
18.919.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 8.5
4373
#23
12.20.6
16.115.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Second
5113
#18
11.31.0
12.713.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
423
#16
10.90.4
9.89.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.9
Third
2458
#13
8.41.0
5.86.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 1.6
9416
#25
9.90.6
12.511.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed