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Red71
42310.9
36521.3
181122.9
Blue28
7526.2
434220.7
94169.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801007128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#15
22.90.1
21.020.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
red by 2.2
4342
#17
20.70.7
19.819.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Second
365
#11
21.30.1
22.822.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 11.3
9416
#25
9.90.9
11.911.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Third
423
#16
10.90.1
9.49.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.9
red by 4.7
752
#28
6.20.7
6.55.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed