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Red89
81612.3
116830.2
253933.4
Blue28
511311.3
46378.2
437312.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863502060801001201408928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.8
30.731.5
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
red by 21.2
4373
#23
12.21.3
15.514.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Second
30.20.8
30.631.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End-0.5
red by 18.9
5113
#18
11.31.0
13.712.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
816
#26
12.30.8
10.711.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End0.2
red by 4.1
4637
#21
8.21.0
8.47.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed