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Red34
54079.7
437312.2
872111.0
Blue65
121824.0
22348.9
36521.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376802060801001203465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#23
12.21.1
14.213.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 11.8
24.00.6
23.823.2
Auto10.7
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Second
8721
#12
11.00.9
12.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 10.3
365
#11
21.30.6
22.722.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
5407
#22
9.70.9
10.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
red by 0.8
2234
#24
8.90.6
11.010.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed