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Red30
139122.9
7526.2
87045.5
Blue28
20413.1
511311.3
70913.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801001201401603028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
22.922.6
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 9.3
709
#14
13.61.1
14.413.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Second
752
#28
6.20.4
6.56.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
blue by 6.9
204
#27
13.11.1
13.011.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Third
8704
#29
5.50.4
5.95.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5113
#18
11.31.1
12.411.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed