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Red45
434220.7
46378.2
116830.2
Blue67
20957.6
909425.1
260729.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7171506080901004567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.2
31.129.9
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End-0.5
red by 0.9
29.30.5
30.630.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Second
4342
#17
20.71.2
21.820.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 4.4
25.10.5
26.425.8
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Third
4637
#21
8.21.2
10.18.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
red by 0.6
2095
#20
7.60.5
8.17.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed