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Red58
568424.0
437312.2
518123.3
Blue65
434220.7
70913.6
121824.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5953405070805865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
24.00.0
20.320.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Level
24.00.7
19.019.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Second
23.30.0
17.917.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 2.6
4342
#17
20.70.7
15.816.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
4373
#23
12.20.0
14.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 1.5
709
#14
13.60.7
14.114.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed