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Red18
20957.6
87045.5
81612.3
Blue75
94169.9
872111.0
34134.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25520204060801001875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#26
12.30.5
10.09.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End0.2
blue by 22.3
341
#2
34.61.8
30.832.6
Auto14.4
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Second
2095
#20
7.60.5
9.28.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 3.4
8721
#12
11.01.8
4.36.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
8704
#29
5.50.5
6.76.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
9416
#25
9.93.0
8.811.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed