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Red112
307037.2
582727.4
321825.2
Blue68
468225.5
902330.0
446926.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957305015020011268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#32
37.21.8
35.437.2
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
red by 7.2
30.00.0
24.324.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Second
5827
#16
27.41.8
27.128.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
red by 1.3
4469
#19
26.20.0
23.523.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Third
3218
#37
25.21.8
20.622.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
blue by 0.3
4682
#31
25.50.0
20.820.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned