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Red56
445029.3
803221.3
418024.2
Blue51
38768.9
382616.8
142525.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785002040601001201401605651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#11
29.30.7
23.923.2
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
red by 4.3
1425
#30
25.00.2
18.118.2
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Second
4180
#39
24.20.7
25.524.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
red by 7.3
3826
#49
16.80.2
18.819.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
8032
#27
21.30.7
17.817.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 12.4
3876
#50
8.90.2
11.411.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed