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Red86
131834.6
198325.2
247133.4
Blue109
446926.2
445029.3
252237.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948640608010012014016086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.1
32.132.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 2.6
37.20.4
32.432.8
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Second
2471
#14
33.40.1
24.124.0
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
red by 4.1
4450
#11
29.30.4
23.223.6
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
Third
1983
#46
25.20.1
27.827.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 1.0
4469
#19
26.20.4
23.423.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned