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Red68
418024.2
263513.3
468225.5
Blue79
292823.6
159527.8
241220.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646340506070806879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4682
#31
25.50.8
20.721.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.2
blue by 2.3
1595
#17
27.81.1
24.025.1
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Second
4180
#39
24.20.8
24.825.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
red by 0.6
2928
#41
23.61.1
18.719.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Third
2635
#48
13.30.8
11.011.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
2412
#43
20.21.1
15.416.5
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed