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Red128
293032.5
255729.1
944236.2
Blue66
703422.7
404340.9
803221.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887705010015012866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#15
36.23.0
29.232.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
blue by 4.7
40.90.4
34.634.2
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
Second
2930
#10
32.53.0
28.231.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
red by 9.8
7034
#42
22.70.4
19.719.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Third
29.13.0
20.823.8
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End3.3
red by 7.8
8032
#27
21.30.4
17.016.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed