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Red90
902330.0
38768.9
291045.9
Blue62
943020.3
371215.0
448827.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85640501001509062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.90.9
39.240.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 18.7
4488
#36
27.30.1
28.028.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
Second
30.00.9
24.225.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 9.7
9430
#28
20.30.1
19.920.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Third
3876
#50
8.90.9
10.911.9
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 6.1
3712
#25
15.00.1
12.412.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed