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Red66
142525.0
292629.3
366340.4
Blue86
49230.2
903628.9
634320.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9271204060801001201401606686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#21
40.41.1
34.032.9
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 10.2
492
#26
30.21.3
25.026.3
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Second
2926
#23
29.31.1
27.226.1
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
red by 0.4
9036
#22
28.91.3
25.026.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
Third
1425
#30
25.01.1
19.618.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
red by 4.5
6343
#35
20.41.3
17.118.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed