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Red56
644335.8
445029.3
683117.7
Blue82
252237.2
293032.5
263513.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6886204060801001201405682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#29
35.80.5
28.127.6
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
blue by 1.4
37.20.4
32.833.2
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
Second
4450
#11
29.30.5
23.623.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
blue by 3.2
2930
#10
32.50.4
31.231.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Third
6831
#40
17.70.5
11.911.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
red by 4.3
2635
#48
13.30.4
11.812.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed