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Red73
307037.2
703422.7
292823.6
Blue123
247133.4
412524.9
944236.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818360709010011012073123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#32
37.20.2
35.235.0
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
red by 0.9
9442
#15
36.23.1
32.235.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Second
2928
#41
23.60.2
19.819.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 9.8
2471
#14
33.43.1
24.027.1
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
Third
7034
#42
22.70.2
19.319.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
blue by 2.2
4125
#34
24.93.1
18.221.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed