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Red96
468225.5
445029.3
404340.9
Blue58
644335.8
263513.3
36033.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90772040601001201401609658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.1
35.536.6
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
red by 5.1
6443
#29
35.81.5
27.626.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
4450
#11
29.31.1
23.124.2
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
blue by 3.9
360
#24
33.11.5
31.229.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Third
4682
#31
25.51.1
20.922.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.2
red by 12.2
2635
#48
13.31.5
12.210.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed