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Red117
252142.8
418024.2
198325.2
Blue95
38768.9
49230.2
307037.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077705015011795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.5
39.541.0
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
red by 5.6
3070
#32
37.21.5
35.036.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.0
End2.8
Second
1983
#46
25.21.5
27.729.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 5.0
492
#26
30.21.5
26.327.7
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Third
4180
#39
24.21.5
25.727.2
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.8
red by 15.2
3876
#50
8.91.5
11.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed