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Red105
582727.4
944236.2
366340.4
Blue75
241220.2
683117.7
247133.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11951010015020025010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#21
40.40.0
32.932.9
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 7.1
2471
#14
33.41.4
27.128.5
Auto8.2
Teleop21.9
End3.2
Second
9442
#15
36.20.0
35.335.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 16.0
2412
#43
20.21.4
15.817.2
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
Third
5827
#16
27.40.0
31.631.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
red by 9.8
6831
#40
17.71.4
11.412.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed