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Red68
159527.8
803221.3
255729.1
Blue62
634320.4
448827.3
367427.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72812040601001201406862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.1
24.324.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End3.3
red by 1.8
3674
#20
27.30.7
25.925.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
Second
1595
#17
27.80.1
25.225.4
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
red by 0.5
4488
#36
27.30.7
28.127.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
Third
8032
#27
21.30.1
16.616.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 0.9
6343
#35
20.40.7
18.317.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed