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Red63
903628.9
48824.5
252237.2
Blue107
446926.2
293032.5
292629.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979002004006008001,0001,2001,40063107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.6
33.231.6
Auto12.5
Teleop21.9
End2.9
red by 4.7
2930
#10
32.51.7
31.633.3
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
9036
#22
28.91.6
26.324.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
blue by 0.4
2926
#23
29.31.7
26.127.7
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
Third
488
#47
24.51.6
27.225.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 1.7
4469
#19
26.21.7
24.426.1
Auto7.0
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned