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Red103
703422.7
944617.7
291045.9
Blue89
292823.6
154030.8
142525.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837205010015020010389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.91.3
40.141.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 15.1
1540
#18
30.81.5
28.229.7
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Second
7034
#42
22.71.3
19.120.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.5
End1.4
blue by 2.3
1425
#30
25.01.5
18.520.0
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Third
9446
#44
17.71.3
15.016.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
blue by 5.8
2928
#41
23.61.5
19.621.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned