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Red79
634320.4
48824.5
293032.5
Blue55
944236.2
36033.1
38768.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8685607080901001101207955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#10
32.50.2
33.333.5
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
blue by 3.7
9442
#15
36.21.6
35.333.7
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Second
488
#47
24.50.2
25.625.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 8.6
360
#24
33.11.6
29.728.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Third
6343
#35
20.40.2
17.617.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 11.5
3876
#50
8.91.6
13.311.8
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed