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Red78
142525.0
944617.7
159527.8
Blue109
204641.6
683117.7
292629.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658920408010012014016078109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#17
27.81.0
25.426.3
Auto3.6
Teleop21.2
End3.0
blue by 13.8
41.62.1
37.339.4
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
Second
1425
#30
25.01.0
20.021.0
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 4.3
2926
#23
29.32.1
27.729.8
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
Third
9446
#44
17.71.0
16.217.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
red by 0.1
6831
#40
17.72.1
12.714.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed